Key Highlights
- Houston Rockets bring a three-game winning streak into their matchup with the Boston Celtics.
- The Rockets are 7-point favorites in this game, which has a total score of 209.5 points.
- The Rockets have played more games exceeding the over/under than the Celtics.
- Boston has covered the spread for three consecutive games and been underdogs seven times with five wins.
Game Preview: Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics
When: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
Rockets on the Rise
The Rockets (31-17) have been riding a wave of momentum with three straight wins leading into this matchup against the Celtics (32-18). As healthy 7-point favorites, their recent form suggests they’re in good shape. However, let’s not get too cocky.
Over the last ten games, the Rockets are 4-6 against the spread and average a total of 12.6 points more than the proposed over/under. This is worth noting as you place your bets.
Celtics’ Consistency
The Celtics have covered the spread six times in their last ten games, outscoring expectations by an average of 14.6 points per game. Their recent history shows they’re not to be underestimated. They are 28-7 against the spread this season, and only once as underdogs seven times with five wins.
Looking at the score predictions, Boston is expected to outscore the Rockets by 3.5 points on average but the over/under of 209.5 points suggests a high-scoring affair.
Total Over/Under
The total for this game is set at 209.5 points, which aligns with their combined average of 232 points per game when playing against each other. Opponents of both teams average scoring 9.4 more points than the over/under, making a high-scoring game likely.
In the Rockets’ last ten games, they’ve exceeded the total in 70% of their opportunities (21 out of 30). In contrast, the Celtics have hit the over only 38% of the time. So, this game looks like it could be a high-scoring affair.
Expert Picks
The Rockets are favored by 7 points and the prediction is for an over/209.5 total. This might seem counterintuitive given their recent form against the over/under but history suggests they can handle it.
Despite the Rockets’ advantage, Boston has been covering consistently recently. So, it’s a toss-up between a Rockets win or a Celtics cover.
Go with what feels right based on your research and gut instinct.
You might think this is new, but… the Rockets have an 8-13-0 ATS record when favored by 7 points or more in their home games, while they perform better away (14-13-0). The Celtics’ recent form speaks volumes as well. This game could be a battle.
The score prediction is Rockets 115 – Celtics 111, but you decide based on the data and your own analysis.