2026 Qatar Exxonmobil Open: Fucsovics [61st] vs. Khachanov [17th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

The Match-up: Fucsovics vs. Khachanov

On Wednesday, Marton Fucsovics (No. 61 in the world) faces Karen Khachanov (No. 17) at the Round of 16 of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open. This matchup features a clear favorite and an underdog, with odds reflecting their relative strength.

Favoring the Favorites

Khachanov is favored (-250), indicating a higher probability of winning over Fucsovics (+190). However, it’s not always about who gets more respect in betting markets. Fucsovics has shown resilience on hard courts and might just pull off an upset.

Hard Court History

Fucsovics has a decent track record on hard courts over the past year, with a 14-9 win-loss ratio and one title under his belt. His return game is particularly strong, winning 34.7% of his return games. He also converts break points at a respectable rate, showing he’s not just a defensive player.

Khachanov’s Struggles

Khachanov has not been as successful on hard courts recently, with only one title and an 16-15 record. His service games are solid (82.5% winning percentage) but his return game is weak (22.2%). This could be a vulnerable spot for him in this match.

Breaking Points

Fucsovics has a 43.3% break-point conversion rate, which ranks well among players on hard courts. Khachanov’s break-point success is lower at 36.4%, placing him behind Fucsovics in this critical area of the game.

The Prediction

Based on these stats and odds, predicting a win for Fucsovics seems less likely than it might seem. The gap between their rankings suggests Khachanov has more to offer at this level. But with Fucsovics’ recent performances and his ability to capitalize on break points, the underdog could surprise.

So, you might think this is new, but in tennis, upsets happen all the time.

Fucsovics will need to play his game well and exploit Khachanov’s weaknesses, especially in the return games. Stay tuned for a potentially exciting match!